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One clear area where nations must work together is in combatting the climate crisis. According to Kenny, “COVID has rammed home how much we live in a global disease pool and how much we have to work together…Maybe a silver lining out of this will be a Renaissance in international cooperation more widely.” “If you look at some of the earliest global international agreements, they were around global public health issues,” he argues. While global cooperation is at a low point compared to previous decades, Kenny is also optimistic that the world can band together. As he points out, “We wouldn’t have recognized COVID as a new disease for the vast majority of human history, just because so many people were dying of infection and respiratory diseases every year.” “We’re incredibly lucky to be facing COVID with the technology and knowledge we have today,” says Kenny. Indeed, highly-effective vaccines and testing for COVID-19 have been developed in record speed. The coronavirus crisis would also have been even more painful at another point in world history. As countries recover from the pandemic shock, according to Kenny “a lot of the forces that are undergirding longer-term progress, like other health technologies, expanded education, and policy progress, are getting back on track.” In some ways, he says, COVID-19 demonstrates how quickly the world was improving: “This huge global pandemic temporarily reversed just three or four years of worldwide progress against extreme poverty reduction, for example.” The last 50 years have seen a historic five-fold increase in GPD per capita in the world, while global social indicators have moved in the right direction. Optimism should be tempered by patience for the vaccine roll-out and mounting debt issues in developing nations, he says, but “there are reasons to think that we can get back on track reasonably fast.” “I think the vaccine will spread…global trade looks like it’s bouncing back,” says Kenny.
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Kenny is “broadly optimistic” for 2021, for which the OECD forecasts 4.2% global growth. He is the author of numerous books on improving the world and his latest, “The Plague Cycle”, explores humankind’s struggles with infectious disease. His current work focuses on gender and development, the role of technology in development, governance, and anticorruption. But despite the massive challenges ahead, is humanity overall still on the up-and-up?Ĭharles Kenny, Director of Technology and Development and Senior Fellow at the Center for Global Development, joins Altamar to explain why the doom-mongers are wrong. From the devastation of the COVID-19 pandemic to racial violence and political polarization, it seems like the world is taking a global gut-punch. Guest: Charles Kenny, Director of Technology and Development and Senior Fellow at the Center for Global DevelopmentĢ020 was rough – but it’s not all doom and gloom.